Sunday, July 02, 2006

Mexican presidential election results in 30 minutes

By law, Mexico cannot begin releasing the preliminary results of the presidential election until 8:00 PM, in about 30 minutes. However, some early results for governorships and other offices have been released and winners already declared -- unofficially. And it looks like the PAN (Partido Acción Nacional), the party of president Vicente Fox, is more than holding its own. The PAN has declared itself the winner of the governor's chairs in both the state of Jalisco (Guadalahara) and Morelos (Cuernavaca).

The PAN will undoubtedly also win Guanajuato, Fox's home state, but that's no surprise. If all of this holds, it means the PAN has not lost any ground since 2000 and might well bode ill for the leftist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO), the PRD presidential hopeful. If widespread dissatisfaction with the PAN were going to vault AMLO into office, one would think that it would be first seen in one or more of the states where the PANista state government was an incumbent. That does not appear to be happening.

I'll try to stay on top of this for awhile to see if we get a call for AMLO or Calderon yet tonight. I doubt it, though. The presidential race is so tight that I would be surprised if we have a winner declared before tomorrow, if by then.

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